Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 51.9% vs Steel 50.6% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 61.2%
Defensive zone
Roy 72.4%
Neutral zone
Roy 53.3%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 72.4%
72.4%
27.6%
Roy
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Roy
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (547)
52.5% (200)
-0.6%
Power Play
54.1% (37)
71.4% (7)
-17.3%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (92)
40.0% (45)
+13.3%
On power play, Steel has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Roy is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Roy shoots right. Steel is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Home / Away
Roy
Steel
Home
54.0% (328)
49.5% (109)
Away
50.6% (348)
51.7% (143)
By Period
Roy
Steel
P1
53.5%
49.5%
P2
51.6%
47.5%
P3
51.6%
56.6%
Final 5 min
48.1%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 15:51 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |