Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Roy wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.9% vs Steel 52.8% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 54.9%
Defensive zone
Roy 55.6%
Neutral zone
Roy 55.1%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Roy
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Roy
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
1
2
Roy
Steel
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (679)
56.9% (320)
-8.3%
Power Play
48.0% (50)
71.4% (7)
-23.4%
Penalty Kill
34.7% (49)
37.0% (73)
-2.3%
On power play, Steel has a +23.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Roy is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Roy shoots right. Steel is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Roy
Steel
Home
49.3% (345)
55.9% (202)
Away
46.4% (433)
51.0% (198)
By Period
Roy
Steel
P1
47.6%
55.5%
P2
47.1%
55.1%
P3
47.9%
50.3%
Final 5 min
45.5%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
47.7%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2024 | 3 | 01:51 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 2 | 05:52 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 2 | 05:49 | Offensive | Sam Steel |