Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Roy wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.2% vs Steel 46.6% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 51.6%
Defensive zone
Roy 60.8%
Neutral zone
Roy 52.0%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Roy
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Roy
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (617)
44.6% (177)
+2.9%
Power Play
39.6% (53)
66.7% (3)
-27.1%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (97)
44.8% (29)
+1.6%
On power play, Steel has a +27.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Roy is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Roy shoots right. Steel is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (100).
Home / Away
Roy
Steel
Home
47.2% (398)
46.7% (90)
Away
46.3% (369)
43.7% (119)
By Period
Roy
Steel
P1
48.6%
47.8%
P2
48.8%
47.0%
P3
43.9%
41.3%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 18:14 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |