Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.9% vs Lorentz 47.6% (+3.3%)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 63.6%
Defensive zone
Roy 64.2%
Neutral zone
Roy 55.1%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Roy
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (746)
46.5% (101)
+3.0%
Power Play
50.7% (75)
33.3% (3)
+17.4%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (110)
37.5% (8)
+5.2%
On power play, Roy has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Roy is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (689).
Roy shoots right. Lorentz is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (50).
Home / Away
Roy
Lorentz
Home
47.7% (491)
49.1% (53)
Away
50.0% (440)
42.4% (59)
By Period
Roy
Lorentz
P1
51.1%
48.6%
P2
44.6%
36.7%
P3
50.9%
57.7%
Final 5 min
51.7%
41.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
45.5%