Scouting Report
Steven Lorentz holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Roy wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.2% vs Lorentz 49.4% (-2.1%)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 66.0%
Defensive zone
Roy 73.4%
Neutral zone
Roy 50.9%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Roy
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (617)
48.9% (135)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (97)
50.0% (4)
-3.6%
On penalty kill, Lorentz has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Roy is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Roy shoots right. Lorentz is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (42).
Home / Away
Roy
Lorentz
Home
47.2% (398)
50.7% (75)
Away
46.3% (369)
46.9% (64)
By Period
Roy
Lorentz
P1
48.6%
60.0%
P2
48.8%
46.3%
P3
43.9%
44.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
48.9%