Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Roy wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.9% vs Lorentz 46.6% (+11.3%)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 57.5%
Defensive zone
Roy 59.2%
Neutral zone
Roy 55.6%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Roy
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (679)
30.8% (26)
+17.8%
Penalty Kill
34.7% (49)
57.1% (7)
-22.4%
On penalty kill, Lorentz has a +22.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Roy is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Roy shoots right. Lorentz is 35.7% vs right-shot opponents (14).
Home / Away
Roy
Lorentz
Home
49.3% (345)
35.0% (20)
Away
46.4% (433)
38.5% (13)
By Period
Roy
Lorentz
P1
47.6%
38.5%
P2
47.1%
37.5%
P3
47.9%
25.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
47.7%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
36.4%