Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 51.9% vs Lorentz 50.0% (+2.2%)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 52.5%
Defensive zone
Roy 66.5%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 51.3%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Roy
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (547)
52.2% (67)
-0.3%
Power Play
54.1% (37)
50.0% (2)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (92)
42.9% (21)
+10.4%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Roy is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Roy shoots right. Lorentz is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (35).
Home / Away
Roy
Lorentz
Home
54.0% (328)
55.4% (65)
Away
50.6% (348)
36.0% (25)
By Period
Roy
Lorentz
P1
53.5%
59.3%
P2
51.6%
47.1%
P3
51.6%
44.8%
Final 5 min
48.1%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.0%