Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Roy wins 60.4% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 51.9% vs Thompson 45.3% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 57.7%
Defensive zone
Roy 83.7%
Neutral zone
Roy 60.0%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 83.7%
83.7%
16.3%
Roy
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Roy
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (547)
44.9% (642)
+7.0%
Power Play
54.1% (37)
47.9% (94)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (92)
33.3% (33)
+20.0%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Roy is 60.4% vs right-shot opponents (212).
Roy shoots right. Thompson is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Home / Away
Roy
Thompson
Home
54.0% (328)
46.0% (391)
Away
50.6% (348)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Roy
Thompson
P1
53.5%
48.1%
P2
51.6%
44.9%
P3
51.6%
41.2%
Final 5 min
48.1%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2025 | 1 | 11:17 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |