Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.9% vs Thompson 41.2% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 64.5%
Defensive zone
Roy 72.3%
Neutral zone
Roy 70.3%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 69.0%
69.0%
31.0%
Roy
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Roy
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Roy
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (746)
40.6% (801)
+8.9%
Power Play
50.7% (75)
44.7% (103)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (110)
31.0% (71)
+11.7%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Roy is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (242).
Roy shoots right. Thompson is 41.0% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
Roy
Thompson
Home
47.7% (491)
43.2% (507)
Away
50.0% (440)
37.2% (468)
By Period
Roy
Thompson
P1
51.1%
37.7%
P2
44.6%
43.4%
P3
50.9%
39.5%
OT
42.9%
27.3%
Final 5 min
51.7%
39.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
40.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2022 | 3 | 12:42 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 16:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 1 | 06:08 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |