Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Roy wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.9% vs Thompson 43.7% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 72.4%
Defensive zone
Roy 61.0%
Neutral zone
Thompson 54.8%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 61.0%
61.0%
39.0%
Roy
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Roy
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Roy
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (679)
41.9% (597)
+6.7%
Power Play
48.0% (50)
50.5% (95)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
34.7% (49)
25.0% (12)
+9.7%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Roy is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Roy shoots right. Thompson is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (190).
Home / Away
Roy
Thompson
Home
49.3% (345)
47.1% (367)
Away
46.4% (433)
38.0% (337)
By Period
Roy
Thompson
P1
47.6%
44.2%
P2
47.1%
41.6%
P3
47.9%
42.9%
OT
75.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
47.7%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 01:54 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |