Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.2% vs Thompson 44.0% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 53.3%
Defensive zone
Roy 80.6%
Neutral zone
Roy 61.6%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 71.1%
71.1%
28.9%
Roy
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Roy
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
2
0
Roy
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Roy
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (617)
44.6% (709)
+2.9%
Power Play
39.6% (53)
41.5% (53)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (97)
35.1% (97)
+11.3%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Roy is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (174).
Roy shoots right. Thompson is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
Roy
Thompson
Home
47.2% (398)
45.5% (426)
Away
46.3% (369)
41.1% (433)
By Period
Roy
Thompson
P1
48.6%
48.5%
P2
48.8%
43.8%
P3
43.9%
38.1%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
37.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2023 | 3 | 17:24 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 3 | 17:19 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 3 | 14:21 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 2 | 16:25 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |