Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.9% vs Hertl 52.3% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 60.3%
Defensive zone
Hertl 55.4%
Neutral zone
Hertl 62.8%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 58.7%
41.3%
58.7%
Roy
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
8
(17 meetings)
9
8
Roy
Hertl
Last 10: Roy 5-5 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
3
1
Roy
Hertl
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
3
5
Roy
Hertl
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
3
2
Roy
Hertl
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (746)
51.6% (1,084)
-2.1%
Power Play
50.7% (75)
61.0% (246)
-10.3%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (110)
44.1% (136)
-1.4%
On power play, Hertl has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Roy is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (689).
Roy shoots right. Hertl is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (526).
Home / Away
Roy
Hertl
Home
47.7% (491)
55.2% (696)
Away
50.0% (440)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Roy
Hertl
P1
51.1%
55.4%
P2
44.6%
54.8%
P3
50.9%
48.9%
OT
42.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.7%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 19:39 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 16:41 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 09:40 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 02:06 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 06:29 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 3 | 11:24 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 3 | 08:50 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 3 | 00:43 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 3 | 19:08 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 2 | 15:51 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 2 | 12:55 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 2 | 09:25 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 2 | 05:48 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 1 | 18:43 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 1 | 05:37 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 1 | 00:09 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |