Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Roy wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.9% vs Hertl 55.4% (-8.2%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 82.1%
Defensive zone
Roy 69.8%
Neutral zone
Hertl 55.7%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 56.0%
44.0%
56.0%
Roy
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (679)
54.1% (717)
-5.5%
Power Play
48.0% (50)
61.9% (210)
-13.9%
Penalty Kill
34.7% (49)
58.1% (31)
-23.4%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +23.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Roy is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Roy shoots right. Hertl is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Home / Away
Roy
Hertl
Home
49.3% (345)
58.1% (492)
Away
46.4% (433)
53.6% (466)
By Period
Roy
Hertl
P1
47.6%
57.1%
P2
47.1%
54.0%
P3
47.9%
56.6%
OT
75.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
45.5%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
47.7%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%