Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Roy wins 60.9% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 52.0% vs Johnston 47.9% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnston 78.2%
Defensive zone
Roy 60.2%
Neutral zone
Johnston 56.1%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 78.2%
21.8%
78.2%
Roy
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Roy
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Roy
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (589)
47.2% (731)
+5.1%
Power Play
50.0% (40)
50.7% (75)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (92)
50.0% (38)
+3.3%
On even strength, Roy has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Roy is 60.9% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Roy shoots right. Johnston is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Roy
Johnston
Home
55.1% (350)
47.6% (414)
Away
49.6% (371)
47.7% (430)
By Period
Roy
Johnston
P1
53.4%
49.1%
P2
51.1%
47.6%
P3
52.3%
46.6%
Final 5 min
48.2%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
56.0%▲
47.5%
52.3%
Johnston
46.0%▼
47.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 16:33 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |