Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Roy wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.3% vs Johnston 44.8% (+4.7%)
Offensive zone
Johnston 64.6%
Defensive zone
Roy 57.5%
Neutral zone
Johnston 50.2%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Roy
Johnston
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (633)
42.5% (318)
+5.8%
Power Play
52.1% (48)
55.6% (9)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
43.7% (87)
62.5% (8)
-18.8%
On penalty kill, Johnston has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Roy is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Roy shoots right. Johnston is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (106).
Home / Away
Roy
Johnston
Home
50.8% (376)
40.5% (168)
Away
45.4% (392)
46.1% (167)
By Period
Roy
Johnston
P1
53.8%
46.9%
P2
43.5%
40.4%
P3
46.4%
41.9%
OT
75.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.0%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
43.3%