Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Roy wins 60.4% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 51.9% vs Johnston 48.5% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnston 75.7%
Defensive zone
Roy 64.6%
Neutral zone
Johnston 56.2%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 75.7%
24.3%
75.7%
Roy
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Roy
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Roy
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (547)
47.8% (623)
+4.1%
Power Play
54.1% (37)
50.8% (63)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (92)
51.4% (35)
+1.9%
On even strength, Roy has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Roy is 60.4% vs right-shot opponents (212).
Roy shoots right. Johnston is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (185).
Home / Away
Roy
Johnston
Home
54.0% (328)
47.6% (351)
Away
50.6% (348)
48.9% (370)
By Period
Roy
Johnston
P1
53.5%
49.6%
P2
51.6%
47.3%
P3
51.6%
48.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 16:33 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |