Scouting Report
Wyatt Johnston holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.2% vs Johnston 50.1% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 51.7%
Defensive zone
Roy 59.9%
Neutral zone
Roy 53.6%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Roy
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Roy
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Roy
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (617)
50.7% (552)
-3.2%
Power Play
39.6% (53)
61.5% (13)
-21.9%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (97)
43.5% (69)
+2.9%
On power play, Johnston has a +21.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Roy is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (174).
Roy shoots right. Johnston is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Roy
Johnston
Home
47.2% (398)
50.3% (342)
Away
46.3% (369)
50.0% (292)
By Period
Roy
Johnston
P1
48.6%
54.4%
P2
48.8%
47.2%
P3
43.9%
49.4%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 15:03 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |