Scouting Report
Pontus Holmberg holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Cates wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Holmberg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 45.8% vs Holmberg 47.5% (-1.8%)
Offensive zone
Holmberg 54.3%
Defensive zone
Holmberg 55.0%
Neutral zone
Cates 62.3%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Cates
Holmberg
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Holmberg
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (271)
45.7% (175)
-1.4%
Power Play
77.8% (18)
75.0% (8)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
31.7% (41)
40.0% (20)
-8.3%
On penalty kill, Holmberg has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holmberg shoots left. Cates is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Cates shoots left. Holmberg is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (134).
Home / Away
Cates
Holmberg
Home
52.0% (148)
50.9% (112)
Away
38.5% (182)
40.7% (91)
By Period
Cates
Holmberg
P1
42.7%
47.1%
P2
42.9%
45.7%
P3
48.5%
46.2%
Final 5 min
44.0%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.5%
Holmberg
40.0%▼
46.5%
46.3%