Scouting Report
Pontus Holmberg holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Cates wins 43.4% vs left-shot opponents — Holmberg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 45.1% vs Holmberg 49.1% (-4.2%)
Offensive zone
Holmberg 55.3%
Defensive zone
Cates 60.4%
Neutral zone
Cates 51.6%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Cates
Holmberg
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Holmberg
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (912)
49.0% (245)
-2.3%
Power Play
33.9% (56)
33.3% (3)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (137)
48.6% (37)
-13.6%
On penalty kill, Holmberg has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holmberg shoots left. Cates is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Cates shoots left. Holmberg is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Cates
Holmberg
Home
46.1% (521)
50.3% (147)
Away
43.3% (584)
47.1% (138)
By Period
Cates
Holmberg
P1
48.0%
59.2%
P2
42.3%
40.0%
P3
44.3%
46.9%
OT
31.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
42.5%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.6%
Holmberg
40.0%▼
46.5%
48.8%