Scouting Report
Noah Cates holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Cates wins 43.4% vs left-shot opponents — Holmberg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 45.5% vs Holmberg 46.6% (+5.3%)
Offensive zone
Cates 53.3%
Defensive zone
Cates 63.7%
Neutral zone
Cates 51.4%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Cates
Holmberg
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Holmberg
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (712)
39.1% (46)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (47)
50.0% (2)
-5.3%
On even strength, Cates has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holmberg shoots left. Cates is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (541).
Cates shoots left. Holmberg is 38.9% vs left-shot opponents (36).
Home / Away
Cates
Holmberg
Home
46.3% (423)
37.5% (32)
Away
43.6% (438)
43.8% (16)
By Period
Cates
Holmberg
P1
46.3%
71.4%
P2
47.1%
21.1%
P3
42.1%
33.3%
Final 5 min
44.0%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.9%
Holmberg
40.0%▼
46.5%
39.6%