Scouting Report
Ryan Donato holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Cates wins 39.3% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 40.4% vs Donato 45.3% (-2.7%)
Offensive zone
Donato 69.0%
Defensive zone
Cates 80.5%
Neutral zone
Cates 50.5%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Cates
Donato
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (841)
42.9% (140)
-2.5%
Power Play
42.4% (66)
28.6% (7)
+13.8%
On power play, Cates has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Cates is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (749).
Cates shoots left. Donato is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (95).
Home / Away
Cates
Donato
Home
38.2% (566)
44.6% (83)
Away
41.0% (488)
39.1% (64)
By Period
Cates
Donato
P1
40.5%
53.2%
P2
42.4%
33.3%
P3
35.3%
41.3%
Final 5 min
36.8%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
39.5%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
42.2%