Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.5% vs 44.1%). Cates wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 45.8% vs Donato 46.0% (+0.4%)
Offensive zone
Donato 65.8%
Defensive zone
Cates 60.5%
Neutral zone
Cates 55.8%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Cates
Donato
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (271)
44.4% (180)
-0.1%
Power Play
77.8% (18)
43.2% (37)
+34.6%
Penalty Kill
31.7% (41)
40.0% (5)
-8.3%
On power play, Cates has a +34.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Cates is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Cates shoots left. Donato is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (137).
Home / Away
Cates
Donato
Home
52.0% (148)
45.4% (97)
Away
38.5% (182)
43.2% (125)
By Period
Cates
Donato
P1
42.7%
36.2%
P2
42.9%
48.6%
P3
48.5%
46.9%
Final 5 min
44.0%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.5%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.1%