Scouting Report
Noah Cates holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 45.8% vs Lafferty 43.9% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lafferty 54.5%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 53.4%
Neutral zone
Cates 61.9%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 61.9%
61.9%
38.1%
Cates
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Cates
Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cates
1
0
Cates
Lafferty
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (271)
42.6% (324)
+1.7%
Power Play
77.8% (18)
31.3% (16)
+46.5%
Penalty Kill
31.7% (41)
43.8% (16)
-12.1%
On power play, Cates has a +46.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Cates is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (106).
Cates shoots left. Lafferty is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (268).
Home / Away
Cates
Lafferty
Home
52.0% (148)
40.9% (181)
Away
38.5% (182)
43.4% (175)
By Period
Cates
Lafferty
P1
42.7%
42.2%
P2
42.9%
36.4%
P3
48.5%
48.6%
Final 5 min
44.0%
37.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.5%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
42.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2023 | 1 | 13:10 | Neutral | Noah Cates |