Scouting Report
Sam Lafferty holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 45.5% vs Lafferty 50.7% (-7.5%)
Offensive zone
Cates 55.4%
Defensive zone
Cates 58.2%
Neutral zone
Cates 52.9%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Cates
Lafferty
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (712)
52.4% (42)
-7.0%
On even strength, Lafferty has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Cates is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Cates shoots left. Lafferty is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (33).
Home / Away
Cates
Lafferty
Home
46.3% (423)
47.8% (23)
Away
43.6% (438)
57.9% (19)
By Period
Cates
Lafferty
P1
46.3%
53.3%
P2
47.1%
55.6%
P3
42.1%
47.1%
OT
18.2%
100.0%
Final 5 min
44.0%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.9%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.4%