Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.5% vs 44.2%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 45.8% vs Reinhart 45.1% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 57.0%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 57.9%
Neutral zone
Cates 55.1%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Cates
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Cates
Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
1
Cates
Reinhart
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (271)
44.6% (345)
-0.3%
Power Play
77.8% (18)
43.3% (97)
+34.5%
Penalty Kill
31.7% (41)
43.2% (88)
-11.5%
On power play, Cates has a +34.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Cates is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (106).
Cates shoots left. Reinhart is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
Cates
Reinhart
Home
52.0% (148)
47.9% (267)
Away
38.5% (182)
40.3% (263)
By Period
Cates
Reinhart
P1
42.7%
45.6%
P2
42.9%
42.0%
P3
48.5%
45.4%
Final 5 min
44.0%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.5%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
44.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 10:30 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |