Scouting Report
Noah Cates holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 45.1% vs Reinhart 42.7% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cates 62.9%
Defensive zone
Cates 69.3%
Neutral zone
Cates 63.6%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 65.6%
65.6%
34.4%
Cates
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Cates
Reinhart
Last 5: Cates 4-1 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cates
2
0
Cates
Reinhart
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cates
2
0
Cates
Reinhart
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
1
Cates
Reinhart
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (912)
44.1% (324)
+2.6%
Power Play
33.9% (56)
40.3% (72)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (137)
33.9% (118)
+1.1%
On power play, Reinhart has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Cates is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (338).
Cates shoots left. Reinhart is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (423).
Home / Away
Cates
Reinhart
Home
46.1% (521)
40.5% (232)
Away
43.3% (584)
41.8% (282)
By Period
Cates
Reinhart
P1
48.0%
46.4%
P2
42.3%
32.6%
P3
44.3%
45.4%
OT
31.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
42.5%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.6%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
41.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2025 | 3 | 19:27 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 3 | 06:53 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 1 | 11:34 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 1 | 17:15 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 08:40 | Neutral | Sam Reinhart |