Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Cates wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 45.8% vs Nosek 51.4% (-7.4%)
Offensive zone
Nosek 50.1%
Defensive zone
Nosek 55.9%
Neutral zone
Cates 53.4%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Cates
Nosek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (271)
54.4% (215)
-10.1%
Power Play
77.8% (18)
0.0% (1)
+77.8%
Penalty Kill
31.7% (41)
23.5% (17)
+8.2%
On power play, Cates has a +77.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Cates is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Cates shoots left. Nosek is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Cates
Nosek
Home
52.0% (148)
50.4% (127)
Away
38.5% (182)
53.8% (106)
By Period
Cates
Nosek
P1
42.7%
51.4%
P2
42.9%
51.3%
P3
48.5%
53.2%
Final 5 min
44.0%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.5%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.9%