Scouting Report
Noah Cates holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Cates wins 43.4% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 45.5% vs Nosek 46.9% (+1.3%)
Offensive zone
Cates 60.0%
Defensive zone
Nosek 51.7%
Neutral zone
Cates 52.8%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Cates
Nosek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (712)
48.5% (66)
-3.1%
Power Play
42.2% (102)
100.0% (1)
-57.8%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (47)
29.6% (27)
+15.1%
On power play, Nosek has a +57.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Cates is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (541).
Cates shoots left. Nosek is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (62).
Home / Away
Cates
Nosek
Home
46.3% (423)
44.0% (25)
Away
43.6% (438)
43.5% (69)
By Period
Cates
Nosek
P1
46.3%
46.4%
P2
47.1%
34.2%
P3
42.1%
53.6%
Final 5 min
44.0%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.9%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
43.6%