Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Cates wins 43.4% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 45.5% vs Karlsson 54.7% (-12.7%)
Offensive zone
Cates 52.4%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 63.3%
Neutral zone
Cates 56.4%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Cates
Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (712)
58.5% (135)
-13.1%
Power Play
42.2% (102)
80.0% (5)
-37.8%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (47)
44.4% (18)
+0.3%
On power play, Karlsson has a +37.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Cates is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (541).
Cates shoots left. Karlsson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Cates
Karlsson
Home
46.3% (423)
63.7% (91)
Away
43.6% (438)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Cates
Karlsson
P1
46.3%
54.4%
P2
47.1%
66.7%
P3
42.1%
51.9%
OT
18.2%
100.0%
Final 5 min
44.0%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.9%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%