Scouting Report
Dawson Mercer holds a +18.0% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Palat shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 39.9% vs Palat 29.0% (+18.0%)
Offensive zone
Mercer 50.9%
Defensive zone
Mercer 60.9%
Neutral zone
Mercer 52.6%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Mercer
Palat
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Palat
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (1,412)
22.3% (242)
+16.8%
Power Play
41.1% (90)
0.0% (8)
+41.1%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (45)
17.4% (23)
+22.6%
On power play, Mercer has a +41.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Palat shoots left. Mercer is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,099).
Mercer shoots right. Palat is 24.7% vs right-shot opponents (93).
Home / Away
Mercer
Palat
Home
40.0% (755)
17.4% (149)
Away
38.5% (792)
25.8% (124)
By Period
Mercer
Palat
P1
38.2%
16.2%
P2
39.2%
24.7%
P3
41.1%
26.2%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
39.6%
26.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.2%
Palat
28.0%▲
22.5%
21.2%