Scouting Report
Parker Kelly holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 49.5% vs Jost 40.8% (+6.7%)
Offensive zone
Kelly 51.0%
Defensive zone
Jost 74.4%
Neutral zone
Jost 54.6%
Result
Tyson Jost favored at 59.4%
40.6%
59.4%
Kelly
Jost
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (6)
41.8% (388)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
21.7% (60)
+18.3%
On penalty kill, Kelly has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Kelly is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (8).
Kelly shoots left. Jost is 38.5% vs left-shot opponents (283).
Home / Away
Kelly
Jost
Home
60.0% (5)
42.6% (230)
Away
33.3% (6)
34.8% (221)
By Period
Kelly
Jost
P1
33.3%
43.2%
P2
40.0%
38.2%
P3
66.7%
34.6%
Final 5 min
66.7%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
45.5%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
38.8%