Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (40.4% vs 40.1%). Kelly wins 41.3% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 41.4% vs Jost 40.5% (+0.3%)
Offensive zone
Jost 65.0%
Defensive zone
Kelly 59.0%
Neutral zone
Jost 50.3%
Result
Tyson Jost favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Kelly
Jost
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (722)
41.0% (1,977)
+0.6%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
34.7% (72)
-34.7%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (170)
34.9% (249)
+1.6%
On power play, Jost has a +34.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Kelly is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (601).
Kelly shoots left. Jost is 40.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,441).
Home / Away
Kelly
Jost
Home
42.2% (457)
42.0% (1,208)
Away
38.6% (438)
38.1% (1,090)
By Period
Kelly
Jost
P1
41.5%
38.5%
P2
44.9%
41.2%
P3
35.1%
40.8%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
34.8%
38.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
22.0%▼
37.0%
40.4%
Jost
40.0%▼
44.5%
40.1%