Scouting Report
Tyson Jost holds a +18.7% FO% edge overall. Kelly wins 17.2% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 41.8% vs Jost 45.0% (-18.7%)
Offensive zone
Jost 54.6%
Defensive zone
Jost 63.1%
Neutral zone
Kelly 52.5%
Result
Tyson Jost favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Kelly
Jost
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
22.9% (35)
43.3% (194)
-20.4%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (11)
25.0% (8)
+2.3%
On even strength, Jost has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Kelly is 17.2% vs left-shot opponents (29).
Kelly shoots left. Jost is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (129).
Home / Away
Kelly
Jost
Home
23.8% (21)
39.7% (78)
Away
24.0% (25)
44.4% (124)
By Period
Kelly
Jost
P1
22.2%
40.5%
P2
23.5%
43.2%
P3
27.3%
44.9%
Final 5 min
20.0%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
23.9%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
42.6%