Scouting Report
Tyson Jost holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Kelly wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 43.9% vs Jost 47.3% (-2.2%)
Offensive zone
Jost 72.6%
Defensive zone
Kelly 81.1%
Neutral zone
Jost 51.3%
Result
Parker Kelly favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Kelly
Jost
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (556)
45.7% (116)
-0.9%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
37.5% (8)
-37.5%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (144)
50.0% (2)
-13.2%
On power play, Jost has a +37.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Kelly is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (481).
Kelly shoots left. Jost is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (91).
Home / Away
Kelly
Jost
Home
44.8% (368)
39.7% (68)
Away
41.0% (334)
51.7% (58)
By Period
Kelly
Jost
P1
46.7%
40.5%
P2
48.0%
47.9%
P3
34.8%
47.2%
Final 5 min
35.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
43.0%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
45.2%