Scouting Report
Tyson Jost holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Kelly wins 37.7% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 41.6% vs Jost 45.0% (-2.9%)
Offensive zone
Jost 52.9%
Defensive zone
Kelly 52.5%
Neutral zone
Kelly 53.2%
Result
Parker Kelly favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Kelly
Jost
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
36.3% (157)
39.3% (84)
-3.0%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
0.0% (1)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (11)
50.0% (6)
-4.5%
On penalty kill, Jost has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Kelly is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (106).
Kelly shoots left. Jost is 34.5% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Kelly
Jost
Home
35.9% (78)
38.5% (52)
Away
37.4% (91)
41.0% (39)
By Period
Kelly
Jost
P1
34.3%
40.6%
P2
36.0%
38.9%
P3
40.4%
39.1%
Final 5 min
37.8%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
36.7%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
39.6%