Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Brown wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brown 51.9% vs Hertl 54.5% (-2.3%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 86.3%
Defensive zone
Brown 74.7%
Neutral zone
Brown 53.3%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Brown
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brown
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (284)
54.1% (1,117)
-1.3%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
59.8% (296)
+15.2%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (51)
34.4% (32)
+14.6%
On power play, Brown has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Brown is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (237).
Brown shoots right. Hertl is 61.2% vs right-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Brown
Hertl
Home
53.5% (144)
54.3% (709)
Away
51.8% (195)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Brown
Hertl
P1
49.0%
51.6%
P2
48.7%
53.6%
P3
58.6%
58.6%
Final 5 min
55.4%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
52.5%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%