Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brown 48.6% vs Hertl 55.4% (-10.4%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 81.2%
Defensive zone
Brown 66.2%
Neutral zone
Hertl 57.9%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 57.6%
42.4%
57.6%
Brown
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brown
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (39)
54.1% (717)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
58.1% (31)
+1.9%
On even strength, Hertl has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Brown is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (34).
Brown shoots right. Hertl is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Home / Away
Brown
Hertl
Home
55.6% (9)
58.1% (492)
Away
42.9% (35)
53.6% (466)
By Period
Brown
Hertl
P1
18.2%
57.1%
P2
58.8%
54.0%
P3
50.0%
56.6%
Final 5 min
25.0%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
45.5%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%