Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Brown wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brown 48.9% vs Hertl 56.8% (-12.0%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 62.2%
Defensive zone
Hertl 50.5%
Neutral zone
Hertl 57.8%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 56.8%
43.2%
56.8%
Brown
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brown
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (27)
57.0% (718)
-12.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
44.2% (77)
+5.8%
On even strength, Hertl has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Brown is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (25).
Brown shoots right. Hertl is 62.5% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Home / Away
Brown
Hertl
Home
37.5% (8)
59.2% (463)
Away
48.0% (25)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Brown
Hertl
P1
54.5%
56.3%
P2
40.0%
55.4%
P3
42.9%
60.5%
Final 5 min
37.5%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
45.5%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%