Scouting Report
Ryan Hartman holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Buchnevich 41.2% vs Hartman 48.1% (-10.5%)
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 68.0%
Defensive zone
Hartman 59.3%
Neutral zone
Hartman 55.2%
Result
Pavel Buchnevich favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Buchnevich
Hartman
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Buchnevich
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
37.0% (211)
48.1% (520)
-11.1%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
44.7% (47)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
47.8% (23)
-19.2%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Buchnevich is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (74).
Buchnevich shoots left. Hartman is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Home / Away
Buchnevich
Hartman
Home
35.6% (87)
48.3% (360)
Away
38.3% (141)
47.0% (230)
By Period
Buchnevich
Hartman
P1
36.3%
48.5%
P2
37.6%
45.2%
P3
38.1%
49.6%
Final 5 min
36.2%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
37.3%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.8%