Scouting Report
Ryan Hartman holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Buchnevich wins 42.3% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Buchnevich 42.1% vs Hartman 45.5% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 54.9%
Defensive zone
Hartman 71.8%
Neutral zone
Hartman 69.0%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 69.0%
31.0%
69.0%
Buchnevich
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Buchnevich
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
1
0
Buchnevich
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Buchnevich
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
37.7% (154)
44.8% (830)
-7.1%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
47.8% (92)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
30.0% (10)
37.5% (16)
-7.5%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Buchnevich is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (71).
Buchnevich shoots left. Hartman is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Buchnevich
Hartman
Home
37.4% (91)
45.0% (515)
Away
37.9% (87)
44.9% (423)
By Period
Buchnevich
Hartman
P1
38.9%
46.5%
P2
31.5%
39.9%
P3
42.0%
48.6%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
33.3%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
37.6%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 03:37 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |