Pavel Buchnevich vs Ryan Hartman
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Hartman holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Buchnevich on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Buchnevich wins 36.1% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Buchnevich 35.4% vs Hartman 45.3% (-11.3%)
H2H factor
Buchnevich leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 70.6%
Defensive zone
Hartman 87.9%
Neutral zone
Hartman 86.7%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 85.0%
15.0%
85.0%
Buchnevich
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Buchnevich
Hartman
Last 10: Buchnevich 5-5 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Buchnevich
Hartman
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
3
4
Buchnevich
Hartman
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
5
0
Buchnevich
Hartman
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Buchnevich
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
33.7% (895)
45.2% (4,235)
-11.5%
Power Play
44.2% (52)
47.4% (443)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
24.3% (37)
42.4% (262)
-18.1%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Buchnevich is 36.1% vs right-shot opponents (338).
Buchnevich shoots left. Hartman is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (3,559).
Home / Away
Buchnevich
Hartman
Home
34.7% (490)
46.7% (2,589)
Away
33.2% (494)
43.6% (2,351)
By Period
Buchnevich
Hartman
P1
34.4%
46.0%
P2
33.7%
42.9%
P3
33.4%
46.8%
OT
50.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
37.1%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
33.9%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 03:37 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 19:16 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 19:08 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 18:46 | Defensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 16:01 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 06:36 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 01:42 | Defensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 13:05 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 3 | 01:31 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 2 | 14:40 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 2 | 11:24 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 1 | 10:22 | Defensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 1 | 04:36 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |