Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +20.1% FO% edge overall. Buchnevich wins 38.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Buchnevich 41.5% vs Hertl 56.8% (-20.1%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 58.0%
Defensive zone
Hertl 64.3%
Neutral zone
Hertl 54.4%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Buchnevich
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Buchnevich
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
37.6% (197)
57.0% (718)
-19.4%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
64.9% (188)
-14.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
44.2% (77)
-44.2%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +44.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Buchnevich is 38.7% vs left-shot opponents (142).
Buchnevich shoots left. Hertl is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Buchnevich
Hertl
Home
43.0% (114)
59.2% (463)
Away
30.4% (92)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Buchnevich
Hertl
P1
40.0%
56.3%
P2
35.7%
55.4%
P3
35.7%
60.5%
Final 5 min
48.9%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
37.4%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%