Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Cirelli wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 52.5% vs Zacha 49.0% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 67.2%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 78.8%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 78.1%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 78.1%
78.1%
21.9%
Cirelli
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Cirelli
Zacha
Last 5: Cirelli 5-0 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
5
0
Cirelli
Zacha
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (748)
47.8% (619)
+5.0%
Power Play
59.4% (32)
58.6% (29)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (171)
54.7% (64)
-3.2%
On even strength, Cirelli has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Cirelli is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (582).
Cirelli shoots left. Zacha is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (499).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Zacha
Home
54.5% (466)
50.8% (394)
Away
51.1% (485)
46.5% (318)
By Period
Cirelli
Zacha
P1
48.6%
48.5%
P2
54.8%
51.2%
P3
55.8%
47.6%
OT
41.2%
16.7%
Final 5 min
55.4%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
52.8%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2018 | 1 | 19:34 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 3 | 05:21 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 1 | 07:21 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 3 | 04:32 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 2 | 18:30 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |