Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 48.5% vs Zacha 52.8% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 62.3%
Defensive zone
Backlund 84.4%
Neutral zone
Backlund 62.9%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Backlund
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Backlund
Zacha
Last 5: Backlund 1-4 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
4
Backlund
Zacha
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (1,032)
54.1% (534)
-3.7%
Power Play
52.3% (107)
56.0% (109)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (313)
44.8% (96)
-4.2%
On penalty kill, Zacha has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Backlund is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Backlund shoots left. Zacha is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Home / Away
Backlund
Zacha
Home
48.7% (749)
53.4% (406)
Away
48.1% (703)
52.9% (333)
By Period
Backlund
Zacha
P1
50.4%
56.8%
P2
50.1%
53.6%
P3
45.8%
49.2%
OT
30.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 13:17 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 09:20 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 17:50 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 02:04 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 00:32 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |