Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 50.1% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 55.2%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 83.2%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 69.4%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Zacha
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Zacha
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
0
Zacha
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (296)
56.6% (1,064)
-8.6%
Power Play
61.0% (59)
60.4% (260)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
54.0% (261)
-4.0%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Zacha is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (217).
Zacha shoots left. O'Reilly is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Zacha
O'Reilly
Home
48.9% (223)
54.9% (801)
Away
51.9% (154)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Zacha
O'Reilly
P1
47.9%
58.0%
P2
48.3%
56.7%
P3
54.3%
55.4%
OT
44.4%
64.7%
Final 5 min
47.1%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
50.1%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2022 | 2 | 11:27 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |