Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Zacha wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 46.5% vs O'Reilly 55.2% (-10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 74.4%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 68.7%
Neutral zone
Zacha 55.6%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 68.7%
31.3%
68.7%
Zacha
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Zacha
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Zacha
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (247)
56.1% (690)
-10.8%
Power Play
58.1% (31)
64.6% (96)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (18)
45.9% (109)
-23.7%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +23.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Zacha is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Zacha shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Home / Away
Zacha
O'Reilly
Home
39.7% (131)
58.3% (408)
Away
49.7% (165)
53.6% (487)
By Period
Zacha
O'Reilly
P1
42.9%
57.7%
P2
46.4%
54.8%
P3
42.3%
55.2%
OT
87.5%
45.5%
Final 5 min
38.9%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
45.3%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 19:05 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |