Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 49.1% vs Poehling 48.1% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 13-12 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 71.6%
Defensive zone
Poehling 66.3%
Neutral zone
Poehling 52.8%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Zacha
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
12
(25 meetings)
13
12
Zacha
Poehling
Last 10: Zacha 5-5 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
7
0
Zacha
Poehling
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
2
7
Zacha
Poehling
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
4
5
Zacha
Poehling
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (5,102)
49.4% (2,726)
-0.5%
Power Play
55.6% (804)
51.6% (93)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (555)
41.6% (623)
+0.6%
On power play, Zacha has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Zacha is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,921).
Zacha shoots left. Poehling is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,301).
Home / Away
Zacha
Poehling
Home
49.7% (3,353)
49.3% (1,688)
Away
48.5% (3,108)
46.9% (1,754)
By Period
Zacha
Poehling
P1
49.9%
50.9%
P2
49.2%
47.0%
P3
48.1%
46.9%
OT
53.1%
37.9%
Final 5 min
47.4%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
49.1%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 10:07 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 1 | 05:16 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 18:31 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 10:19 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 05:22 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 07:58 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 02:46 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 17:13 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 10:53 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 14:44 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 13:09 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 08:53 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 07:01 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 12:42 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 02:14 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 10:21 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 15:21 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |