Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 54.4% vs Poehling 49.2% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 84.5%
Defensive zone
Poehling 56.4%
Neutral zone
Zacha 64.6%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 65.5%
65.5%
34.5%
Zacha
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
6
(16 meetings)
10
6
Zacha
Poehling
Last 10: Zacha 7-3 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
6
0
Zacha
Poehling
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
4
Zacha
Poehling
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
3
2
Zacha
Poehling
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (787)
50.4% (752)
+3.5%
Power Play
63.2% (193)
37.0% (27)
+26.2%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (88)
45.3% (159)
-1.0%
On power play, Zacha has a +26.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Zacha is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Zacha shoots left. Poehling is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (655).
Home / Away
Zacha
Poehling
Home
56.7% (538)
51.2% (467)
Away
52.8% (530)
47.1% (471)
By Period
Zacha
Poehling
P1
52.6%
54.6%
P2
54.8%
46.7%
P3
56.8%
46.7%
OT
59.1%
42.9%
Final 5 min
51.9%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
54.8%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 18:31 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 10:19 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 05:22 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 07:58 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 02:46 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 17:13 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 10:53 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 14:44 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 13:09 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 08:53 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 07:01 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 12:42 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 02:14 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |