Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 51.7% vs Poehling 47.4% (+4.9%)
Offensive zone
Zacha 68.0%
Defensive zone
Poehling 64.1%
Neutral zone
Poehling 56.8%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Zacha
Poehling
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (646)
49.8% (626)
+3.5%
Power Play
53.0% (100)
58.3% (12)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
38.9% (72)
38.2% (207)
+0.7%
On power play, Poehling has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Zacha is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (476).
Zacha shoots left. Poehling is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Home / Away
Zacha
Poehling
Home
51.7% (410)
47.3% (404)
Away
52.2% (408)
46.9% (441)
By Period
Zacha
Poehling
P1
57.7%
53.5%
P2
48.9%
39.4%
P3
50.2%
49.1%
OT
35.7%
35.7%
Final 5 min
48.4%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
52.0%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
47.1%