Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 50.1% vs Poehling 47.0% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 64.8%
Defensive zone
Poehling 54.4%
Neutral zone
Zacha 53.3%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Zacha
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Zacha
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
0
Zacha
Poehling
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
0
Zacha
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (296)
45.1% (437)
+2.9%
Power Play
61.0% (59)
56.4% (39)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
61.5% (13)
-11.5%
On penalty kill, Poehling has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Zacha is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (217).
Zacha shoots left. Poehling is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (303).
Home / Away
Zacha
Poehling
Home
48.9% (223)
46.6% (232)
Away
51.9% (154)
46.3% (257)
By Period
Zacha
Poehling
P1
47.9%
43.9%
P2
48.3%
49.1%
P3
54.3%
46.4%
OT
44.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
50.1%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 18:18 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |